Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.438766 0.502907 0.572348 0.653007 0.744014 0.843407 0.960072
2025-04-13 0.323676 0.406570 0.503906 0.626214 0.775338 0.950767 1.172266
2025-04-20 0.261106 0.356820 0.477865 0.641140 0.854441 1.122306 1.482665
2025-04-27 0.216530 0.320092 0.460366 0.662257 0.942991 1.316739 1.848580
2025-05-04 0.177367 0.282478 0.434351 0.666553 1.008547 1.488762 2.207692
2025-05-11 0.145709 0.249047 0.407722 0.664389 1.063029 1.650730 2.572055
2025-05-18 0.121098 0.221316 0.384270 0.662083 1.115270 1.813888 2.955959
2025-05-25 0.102455 0.199486 0.365983 0.664085 1.172918 1.990079 3.377878
2025-06-01 0.088218 0.182381 0.352349 0.670906 1.237964 2.183538 3.846391
2025-06-08 0.074826 0.164058 0.333269 0.664741 1.279039 2.340772 4.270598
2025-06-15 0.066419 0.153735 0.326971 0.680261 1.359264 2.571226 4.840088
2025-06-22 0.056816 0.138949 0.309520 0.671703 1.393517 2.723644 5.287222
2025-06-29 0.050287 0.129674 0.301909 0.681929 1.465689 2.953873 5.901128
2025-07-06 0.042426 0.115681 0.282056 0.664097 1.480425 3.078896 6.333850
2025-07-13 0.038693 0.110810 0.281283 0.686550 1.579389 3.374505 7.117861
2025-07-20 0.035676 0.107100 0.282520 0.713519 1.690888 3.705431 8.001029
2025-07-27 0.031862 0.100448 0.275683 0.721039 1.761207 3.960050 8.755608
2025-08-03 0.028140 0.093192 0.266100 0.720595 1.813571 4.182296 9.464055
2025-08-10 0.024881 0.086506 0.256783 0.719322 1.863637 4.404022 10.190645
2025-08-17 0.022225 0.081001 0.249603 0.722267 1.923718 4.652639 10.995543
2025-08-24 0.020080 0.076592 0.244635 0.730147 1.996434 4.935583 11.898591
2025-08-31 0.017713 0.070854 0.234888 0.723809 2.033187 5.140502 12.646539
2025-09-07 0.016346 0.068219 0.233732 0.740807 2.130747 5.493869 13.756885